Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
1 - 0
Nice

Golovin (45+2')
Tchouameni (45'), Disasi (52'), Martins (71'), Golovin (78'), Vanderson (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Daniliuc (42'), Thuram (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67

Nice

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66

Having rediscovered their winning touch at the weekend, Nice will be confident of earning at least a share of the spoils from what feels like a pivotal match in their campaign. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Monaco's recent upturn in form, and we think that the home side will edge a highly-competitive contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Nice had a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Nice
66.6%	20.24%	13.17%

Both teams to score 45.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08%

47.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9%

70.1%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.51%

13.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48%

40.52%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.06%

46.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.56%

82.44%

Score Analysis

Monaco 66.58%

Nice 13.17%

Draw 20.24%

Monaco	Draw	Nice
2-0 @ 12.7% 1-0 @ 12.68% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 4.25% 4-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-0 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.6% Total : 66.58%	1-1 @ 9.6% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.24%	0-1 @ 4.79% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 0.92% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.11% Total : 13.17%