Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lille |
32.91% | 25.83% | 41.26% |
Both teams to score 54.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.05% | 49.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.06% | 71.93% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% | 28.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% | 64.55% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% | 23.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% | 58.21% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.91% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |