Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
23.59% | 25.26% | 51.15% |
Both teams to score 49.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% | 52.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% | 74.52% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% | 37.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% | 74.22% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% | 20.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% | 53.3% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.59% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 12.2% 0-2 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-4 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |