Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Dec 10, 2021 at 8pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
3 - 2
Lens

Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nantes will have gained some confidence from their recent win, but Lens likely gained more from their draw against the mighty PSG. We are backing them to defy their recent away record and secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lens
36.16%	26.45%	37.4%

Both teams to score 52.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91%

52.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.18%

73.81%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25%

27.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67%

63.32%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97%

27.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61%

62.39%

Score Analysis

Nantes 36.16%

Lens 37.4%

Draw 26.44%

Nantes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.16%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.4%