PSG are struggling to convince the critics that they truly are a different beast this term, but Monaco have also had their own fair share of struggles this season, particularly away from home.
Pochettino will boast the fresher crop of players - despite Kovac's best efforts to give his big-hitters ample time to recover from Thursday's travails - and a near full-strength PSG side playing at their headquarters ought to pull through by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
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