Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Jan 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Montpellier

Majeed Waris (77'), Thomasson (84'), Gameiro (86')
Bellegarde (22'), Kandil (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mollet (11')
Ferri (59'), Savanier (65')
Wahi (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Strasbourg 2-2 Montpellier HSC

These two teams know how to finish off their opportunities, and they are both very aggressive, so it would not be a surprise to see a few goals scored in this one. Strasbourg will be without their top two goalscorers, so their depth will be tested, but Montpellier are coming off a lengthy delay, having not played since January 2, and that might favour Les Coureurs early on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
55.62%	23.15%	21.22%

Both teams to score 53.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17%

46.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91%

69.09%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33%

16.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.46%

46.54%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71%

36.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92%

73.08%

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 55.62%

Montpellier HSC 21.22%

Draw 23.15%

Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.71% 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.94% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.14% Total : 55.62%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.22%