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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Columbus Crew

Atlanta
1 - 1
Columbus Crew

Robinson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-2 Atlanta
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Columbus Crew

Atlanta United and Columbus Crew have enjoyed a solid campaign and will be looking to build up some momentum ahead of the playoffs. The Crew are unbeaten in their last three games against Atlanta, picking up two wins and one draw, and given their current form, we fancy them holding out for a point in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
53.24% (-0.553 -0.55) 21.5% (0.058 0.06) 25.26% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.3% (0.224 0.22)34.7% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.34% (0.25 0.25)56.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)13.24% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-0.184 -0.18)40.02% (0.186 0.19)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.486 0.49)26.16% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (0.646 0.65)61.24% (-0.643 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 53.24%
    Columbus Crew 25.26%
    Draw 21.5%
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.24%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.26%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Columbus Crew

Atlanta United
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Columbus Crew
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
6-1
Atlanta
Morris (14'), Ramirez (47', 64'), Quinton (51'), Russell-Rowe (68'), Arfsten (90+1')
Lennon (71')
Aug 21, 2022 11.48pm
Columbus Crew
2-2
Atlanta
Camilo Hernandez (66', 72')
Artur (31'), Etienne (51'), Mensah (82')
Sosa (21'), Sanchez (77')
Sosa (69'), Mosquera (80')
May 29, 2022 12am
Atlanta
1-2
Columbus Crew
Moreno (45+5'), Ibarra (45+10'), Franco (89'), Dwyer (90+3')
Almada (90+7')
Sands (61')
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Columbus Crew
2-3
Atlanta
Mensah (37'), Santos (90+1' pen.)
Room (90+7')
Barco (5', 35'), Moreno (65' pen.)
Sosa (45+3'), Walkes (66')
Jul 24, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atlanta
0-1
Columbus Crew
Mensah (65')
Hurtado (44'), Francis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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