Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
45.47% ( -1.41) | 24.96% ( 0.64) | 29.57% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.48% ( -2.38) | 47.52% ( 2.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.28% ( -2.24) | 69.72% ( 2.25) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( -1.57) | 20.94% ( 1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.32% ( -2.51) | 53.68% ( 2.52) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% ( -0.66) | 29.74% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( -0.81) | 65.81% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |