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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Austin
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rubio (56'), Gallagher (58')
Wolff (34'), Biro (45+6'), Rubio (56'), Cascante (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (14' pen.), Uhre (65')
Sullivan (33'), Carranza (45+5'), Andres Martinez (62'), Elliott (70'), Gazdag (81'), Lowe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Clean sheets have been at a premium for both sides of late, and we expect neither of them to come away unbroken from this one. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
45.47% (-1.413 -1.41) 24.96% (0.643 0.64) 29.57% (0.776 0.78)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-1.637 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-2.379 -2.38)47.52% (2.384 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-2.241 -2.24)69.72% (2.245 2.25)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-1.566 -1.57)20.94% (1.572 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-2.514 -2.51)53.68% (2.519 2.52)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)29.74% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.812 -0.81)65.81% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 45.47%
    Philadelphia Union 29.57%
    Draw 24.96%
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.494 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.597 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.596 0.6)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Austin vs Philadelphia

Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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