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Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Russell-Rowe (68'), Farsi (90+10')
Amundsen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herbers (72')
Arigoni (13'), Barlow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, March 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire

 Chicago Fire have failed to beat Columbus Crew in all of their last five meetings, while they have been unable to win at the hosts' home stadium since 2018. With Columbus winning four of the last five, scoring at least two in all of these victories, we believe they will go on to win this one 2-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
62.28% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08) 20.52% (0.102 0.1) 17.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-0.505 -0.51)41.18% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.517 -0.52)63.58% (0.518 0.52)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.178 -0.18)12.68% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.37 -0.37)38.86% (0.373 0.37)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (-0.329 -0.33)37.32% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.325 -0.32)74.11% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 62.28%
    Chicago Fire 17.2%
    Draw 20.52%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.28%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.2%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
2-3
Columbus Crew
Gimenez (14'), Czichos (43'), Navarro (50'), Gutierrez (54'), Duran (60')
Navarro (88')
Moreira (8'), Mensah (71'), Camilo Hernandez (84')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Columbus Crew
2-0
Chicago Fire
Zelarayan (31'), Berry (58')

Navarro (59'), Offor (62'), Espinoza (88'), Ivanov (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111
> Full Version


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