Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
41.92% ( 0.2) | 25.97% ( 0.05) | 32.12% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -0.27) | 50.76% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( -0.24) | 72.66% ( 0.24) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% ( -0.02) | 24% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.75% ( -0.03) | 58.25% ( 0.03) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.36% ( -0.3) | 29.64% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.32% ( -0.37) | 65.68% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |