Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Charlotte FC
Despite a significant dip in results, Cincinnati's home form stayed consistent before losing 1-0 to Orlando before the start of the month.
Be that as it may, the hosts are favourites to prove their first home loss of the season was an anomaly against a Charlotte side without an away victory in four months.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.57% . A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.84% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%) , while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.27%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result FC Cincinnati Draw Charlotte FC 60.57% ( 0.13) 21.59% ( -0.07) 17.84% ( -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.1)
55.16% ( 0.2) 44.84% ( -0.2)
32.8% ( 0.19) 67.2% ( -0.19)
85.65% ( 0.1) 14.35% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.79% ( 0.2) 42.21% ( -0.21)
61.25% ( 0.05) 38.75% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.52% ( 0.05) 75.48% ( -0.05)
FC Cincinnati 60.56%
Charlotte FC 17.84%
Draw 21.58%
FC Cincinnati Draw Charlotte FC 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.56% 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.58% 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.84%
How you voted: Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC
FC Cincinnati
Draw
Charlotte FC
12
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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