Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
57.68% ( 0.28) | 21.99% ( -0.1) | 20.33% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.13% ( 0.19) | 42.86% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.73% ( 0.19) | 65.27% ( -0.19) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.39% ( 0.16) | 14.61% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.29% ( 0.3) | 42.71% ( -0.3) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.07) | 34.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.08) | 71.66% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 57.68% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |