Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
58.77% ( 0.24) | 21.75% ( -0.11) | 19.48% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% ( 0.32) | 43.03% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% ( 0.32) | 65.43% ( -0.32) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( 0.18) | 14.32% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.85% ( 0.35) | 42.15% ( -0.35) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.11% ( 0.06) | 35.88% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% ( 0.06) | 72.66% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.77% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |