Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
4 - 0
Los Angeles

Quinones (11'), Bassi (50' pen.), Baird (69'), Escobar (89')
Clark (53'), Escobar (79'), Baird (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cifuentes (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Houston
Wednesday, June 7 at 1.30am in US Open Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-0 Atlanta
Thursday, June 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Los Angeles FC

Neither the hosts nor the visitors will escape the effects of midweek fatigue this week, but Houston's penchant for clean sheets at home coupled with Los Angeles' recent shortcomings in front of goal means that the Black and Gold's struggles could continue at the Shell Energy Stadium. Injuries are hardly helping the champions' cause either, but Guzan was the sole reason for their failure to score against Atlanta, and rectifying such errors in front of goal could see them walk away with a hard-earned point.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles FC
30.11% ( 0.09)	25.4% ( -0)	44.49% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

0.05)

49.12% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

0.05)

71.19% (

-0.05)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.82% (

0.09)

30.18% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

0.1)

66.33% (

-0.11)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

-0.02)

22.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

-0.03)

55.39% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 30.11%

Los Angeles FC 44.48%

Draw 25.39%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.11%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.48%