Major League Soccer

Apr 10, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
4 - 3
Earthquakes

Ferreira (8', 68'), Quintero (43'), Hadebe (57')
Quintero (18'), Ferreira (27'), Hadebe (58'), Picault (63'), Ceren (89'), Bartlow (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Ebobisse (25', 28'), Thompson (77')
Marie (20'), Lopez (22'), Yueill (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Battling to climb up the table, San Jose look set for a long and arduous campaign in MLS. On the other hand, Houston have shown signs of positivity so far and it could be another profitable afternoon for the Dynamo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
46.48%	25.86%	27.65%

Both teams to score 51.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.67%

52.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98%

74.02%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51%

22.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95%

56.05%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33%

33.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68%

70.32%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 46.48%

San Jose Earthquakes 27.65%

Draw 25.86%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.15% Total : 46.48%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.65%