Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Nashville SC |
46.52% ( -2.03) | 24.69% ( 0.38) | 28.78% ( 1.65) |
Both teams to score 55.93% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% ( -0.58) | 46.78% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% ( -0.54) | 69.04% ( 0.54) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( -1.08) | 20.18% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.52% ( -1.75) | 52.48% ( 1.74) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% ( 0.92) | 29.92% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% ( 1.1) | 66.02% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.21% Total : 28.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |