Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
60.94% ( 1.5) | 20.27% ( -0.3) | 18.79% ( -1.2) |
Both teams to score 58.9% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.78% ( -0.49) | 37.22% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.57% ( -0.53) | 59.42% ( 0.53) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.16% ( 0.26) | 11.83% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.91% ( 0.56) | 37.09% ( -0.56) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( -1.49) | 33.19% ( 1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( -1.68) | 69.79% ( 1.68) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) Other @ 4.24% Total : 60.94% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.1% Total : 18.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |