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Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Houston Dynamo

Montreal
1 - 1
Houston

Lappalainen (90+6')
Piette (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Artur (10')
Ibrahim (18'), Bartlow (56'), Carrasquilla (62'), Quinones (84'), Escobar (90+3'), Baird (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-2 Houston Dynamo

It is usually very good or very poor with Montreal, with their 11 wins and 16 defeats from 31 MLS games this season, but with the pressure on against tough opposition, this could be a struggle. The post-cup-win hangover can be forgiven after an uneventful draw at the weekend, but Houston could well return to winning ways here.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
47.89% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)51.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.012 -0.01)21.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)54.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.7% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 47.9%
    Houston Dynamo 26.63%
    Draw 25.48%
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Montreal vs Houston

CF Montreal
16.7%
Draw
25.0%
Houston Dynamo
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Houston
2-3
Montreal
Ferreira (12'), Steres (36')
Quioto (15' pen.), Johnston (28'), Lappalainen (69')
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 45
Montreal
2-0
Houston
Camacho (58'), Miller (63')
Breza (90+1')

Hoffmann (44'), Lassiter (53'), Carrasquilla (85')
Apr 18, 2020 6pm
Mar 9, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 2
Houston
2-1
Montreal
Rodriguez (36'), Manotas (86')
Garcia (74'), Quioto (77')
Taider (34')
Sagna (77'), Cabrera (88')
Jun 3, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Montreal
1-0
Houston
Vargas (44')
Edwards (65')

Elis (29'), Gil (33'), Lundqvist (69'), Martinez (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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