Because of injuries, numerous Montreal youngsters have been pushed into the spotlight earlier than expected, though they seem to be gelling as a group, while not allowing much space in behind their defence.
Orlando have been a better road team in 2023, but they have not been very consistent from one game to the next, while they have been average at best in the attacking third this season.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
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