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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 11.55pm UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Atlanta United

Orlando City
0 - 1
Atlanta


Cartagena (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almada (72')
Dwyer (50'), Araujo (78'), Mosquera (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Atlanta United

Losing in the manner Orlando did last weekend might be demoralising if it were anyone besides Philly, who have made it a routine of trouncing their opponents this season. Atlanta are a different team away from home as they struggle to create much, while the Lions have managed to find various ways to win matches in 2022, and we believe Pareja will be able to put together an intelligent game plan to help his side earn another three points at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
49.78% (0.102 0.1) 23.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.91% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 59.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)41.81% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)64.21% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)16.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97% (0.038000000000004 0.04)47.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)28.72% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.116 -0.12)64.55% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 49.78%
    Atlanta United 26.91%
    Draw 23.3%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 26.91%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
73.9%
Draw
15.2%
Atlanta United
10.9%
46
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Orlando City
4-1
Atlanta
Dike (29'), Mueller (45+2'), Akindele (60'), Mendez (90+2')
Michel (88')
Torres (87')
Meza (45+1'), Remedi (81'), Mo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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