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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Houston Dynamo

Portland
2 - 1
Houston

Moreno (34' pen., 36')
Blanco (17'), Zuparic (27'), Moreno (42'), Tuiloma (54'), Williamson (72')
Tuiloma (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quintero (65')
Rodriguez (21'), Zeca (34'), Hadebe (44'), Vera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Although Portland are currently two points adrift of their opponents in the Western Conference, they usually fare well in home meetings with Houston, and we think that they will edge out the visitors to claim consecutive victories for the first time this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
60.88% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.38% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 17.74% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)44.13% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.067 -0.07)66.51% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)14.02% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.177 -0.18)41.57% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.133 0.13)38.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.126 0.13)75.2% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 60.87%
    Houston Dynamo 17.74%
    Draw 21.38%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.74%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland

Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')

Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Houston
0-2
Portland

Parker (50')
Chara (15'), Mora (20' pen.)
Bravo (51'), Zambrano (86'), Mabiala (90+2')
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Portland
Picault (15'), Pasher (33')
Picault (59')
Asprilla (50'), Ebobisse (90+1')
Bonilla (38'), Mabiala (72'), Blanco (73')
Apr 25, 2021 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
Asprilla (6'), Paredes (73')
Asprilla (26'), Bravo (39')
Paredes (28' og.)
Valentin (36'), Urruti (37')
Jul 26, 2020 3.30am
Portland
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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