Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.11am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
53.84% ( -0.17) | 24.49% ( 0.07) | 21.67% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( -0.08) |