Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Orlando City |
50.16% ( -0.04) | 23.41% ( -0.02) | 26.42% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.37% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% ( 0.13) | 42.71% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.89% ( 0.13) | 65.11% ( -0.13) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( 0.03) | 17.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( 0.06) | 47.37% ( -0.06) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% ( 0.11) | 29.55% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.43% ( 0.14) | 65.57% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Orlando City |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |