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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Ebobisse (2'), Rodrigues (15')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Arango (44')
Vera (13'), Arango (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake

San Jose need to start picking up regular wins to secure their place in the playoffs, but recent form suggests they are set to struggle on Saturday evening. Salt Lake will be feeling better about themselves after beating basement dwellers Colorado last time out, and we are expecting Mastroeni's side to make it back-to-back wins this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
54.74% (1.126 1.13) 22.09% (-0.248 -0.25) 23.17% (-0.879 -0.88)
Both teams to score 59.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (0.182 0.18)39.76% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.188 0.19)62.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.428 0.43)14.5% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (0.825 0.83)42.5% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (-0.633 -0.63)30.56% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.755 -0.76)66.79% (0.753 0.75)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 54.74%
    Real Salt Lake 23.17%
    Draw 22.08%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.196 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Salt Lake

San Jose Earthquakes
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Real Salt Lake
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2.30am
Jul 31, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')
Jun 19, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-0
Earthquakes
Silva (22'), Savarino (81')
Schmitt (31'), Luiz (84')

Espinoza (68'), Cardoso (79')
Oct 30, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 44
Salt Lake
3-4
Earthquakes
Rusnak (9', 90+3'), Chang (85')
Glad (48')
Fierro (37'), Wondolowski (45+3'), Cowell (69'), Yueill (79')
Alanis (27'), Yueill (45'), Judson (58'), Espinoza (75')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 33
Earthquakes
3-4
Salt Lake
Lopez (50', 65')
Judson (59'), Lopez (69'), Remedi (72')
Rusnak (49'), Meram (71'), Rubin (81')
Besler (8'), Rusnak (62'), Toia (65'), Ruiz (67'), Kreilach (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City168352017327
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1633102435-1112
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511


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