Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Nashville SC |
59.06% ( 0.02) | 22.37% ( 0.02) | 18.56% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( -0.15) | 47.1% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% ( -0.14) | 69.34% ( 0.14) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.41% ( -0.04) | 15.59% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.43% ( -0.08) | 44.57% ( 0.09) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.74% ( -0.13) | 39.26% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% ( -0.13) | 75.96% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |