MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 07:29:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
BMO Field
Charlotte FC

Toronto
1 - 0
Charlotte FC

Insigne (80')
Insigne (26'), Rosted (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (60'), Arfield (82'), Dejaegere (86'), Kahlina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC

Although we have only seen a sample size of Toronto in 2024, they seem to be a lot more composed off the ball than we saw a year ago, and we believe the home crowd and their experienced attacking players will give them an edge this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
38.11% (0.457 0.46) 25.87% (0.112 0.11) 36.02% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.511 -0.51)49.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.459 -0.46)71.64% (0.462 0.46)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.56500000000001 -0.57)26.66% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.754 -0.75)61.9% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.11%
    Charlotte FC 36.02%
    Draw 25.86%
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Toronto vs Charlotte FC

Toronto
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Charlotte FC
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
3-0
Toronto
Swiderski (8' pen., 45+2' pen.), Dejaegere (56')

Bradley (26'), Mbongue (45+6')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
4-0
Charlotte FC
Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')

Fuchs (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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