National League North | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley3 - 1Gloucester City
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Gloucester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
57.5% ( 0.03) | 22.01% ( -0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.72% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.21% ( 0.06) | 42.79% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.81% ( 0.06) | 65.19% ( -0.06) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( 0.03) | 14.64% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.23% ( 0.06) | 42.77% ( -0.06) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% ( 0.02) | 34.72% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% ( 0.02) | 71.45% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chorley 57.5%
Gloucester City 20.49%
Draw 22.01%
Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 20.49% |
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Gloucester City
4-3
Chorley
Dada (29'), Barnes-Homer (74', 88'), Obadeyi (90+3')
Rus (45+2'), Calveley (53'), Whitehouse (71')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-09 14:36:53
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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