National League North | Gameweek 25

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 2
Chorley

Ligendza (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hall (7'), Ustabasi (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Chorley
57.02% ( 0.39)	23.58% ( -0.09)	19.4% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 49% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.13% (

-0.04)

50.86% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.25% (

-0.04)

72.74% (

0.04)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

0.13)

17.63% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

0.22)

48.22% (

-0.23)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.49% (

-0.36)

40.51% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.88% (

-0.33)

77.11% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Fylde 57.01%

Chorley 19.4%

Draw 23.58%

Fylde	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.4%