Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
25.28% ( 2.81) | 23.19% ( 1.09) | 51.52% ( -3.9) |
Both teams to score 58% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.3% ( -2.05) | 42.69% ( 2.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.9% ( -2.07) | 65.1% ( 2.07) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( 1.23) | 30.42% ( -1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( 1.43) | 66.63% ( -1.44) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% ( -2.06) | 16.64% ( 2.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.52% ( -3.83) | 46.48% ( 3.82) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.46) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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