Dungannon

3 - 2

Portadown

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.