Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2021 at 9.30am UK

South Korea U23s
6 - 0
Honduras U23s

Ui-jo (12' pen., 45+5', 52' pen.), Won (19' pen.), Kim (64'), Kang-in (82')
Kang-in (65')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Eduardo Melendez Rosales (17'), Nunez (26'), Aaron Melendez Suazo (51')
Eduardo Melendez Rosales (39')

Coverage of the Olympic Games Men's Football Group Stage clash between South Korea Under-23s and Honduras Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea Under-23s win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Honduras Under-23s had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Honduras Under-23s win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea Under-23s would win this match.

Result
South Korea Under-23s	Draw	Honduras Under-23s
43.58%	25.65%	30.76%

Both teams to score 53.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.07%

49.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08%

71.91%

South Korea Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46%

56.54%

Honduras Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.86%

30.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.72%

66.28%

Score Analysis

South Korea Under-23s 43.58%

Honduras Under-23s 30.76%

Draw 25.65%

South Korea Under-23s	Draw	Honduras Under-23s
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.58%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.2% Total : 30.76%