Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 2-3 (5.76%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
26.41% ( 0.25)	18.66% ( 0.06)	54.93% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 76.49% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.52% (

-0.08)

19.48% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.66% (

-0.12)

37.34% (

0.12)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

0.08)

17.03% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.82% (

0.14)

47.18% (

-0.14)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.2% (

-0.09)

7.8% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.29% (

-0.23)

27.71% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Leeds United Under-21s 26.41%

Chelsea Under-21s 54.93%

Draw 18.66%

Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 26.41%	2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.66%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 3-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.01% Total : 54.93%