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The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 0-3 Manchester City

Villa arguably should not have been in with a chance of stealing a point off of Arsenal in midweek, but credit where credit is due to some of their last-ditch defending efforts, and they did come out fighting in the second period. However, such small positives are unlikely to count for much against the rampant champions, who will seek to further increase the pressure on the under-fire Gerrard with a straightforward success on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
17.84% (2.691 2.69) 19.47% (0.839 0.84) 62.69% (-3.528 -3.53)
Both teams to score 59.96% (3.201 3.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.99% (1.276 1.28)35.01% (-1.275 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43% (1.41 1.41)57% (-1.409 -1.41)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (3.95 3.95)32.85% (-3.948 -3.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (4.168 4.17)69.42% (-4.166 -4.17)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (-0.515 -0.52)10.71% (0.517 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.36% (-1.167 -1.17)34.64% (1.169 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 17.84%
    Manchester City 62.69%
    Draw 19.47%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.59 0.59)
1-0 @ 3.92% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.39 0.39)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.381 0.38)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 17.84%
1-1 @ 8.75% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.554 0.55)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.47%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.999 -1)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.704 -0.7)
1-3 @ 7.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 6.54% (-0.906 -0.91)
1-4 @ 4.06% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.331 0.33)
0-4 @ 3.65% (-0.598 -0.6)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.139 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 62.69%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
8.4%
Draw
6.4%
Manchester City
85.2%
344
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 4pm
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Man City
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)

McGinn (67'), Smith (81'), Taylor (86')
Smith (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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