Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 0
Southampton

Mee (41'), Mbeumo (44'), Jensen (80')
Toney (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lavia (59'), Salisu (90')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford defeated Southampton 3-0 at the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday, moving up to seventh in the table and leaving the Saints rock-bottom in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Brentford
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Southampton
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Southampton
45.91% ( -0.01)	25.49% ( -0)	28.6% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

0.02)

50.26% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

0.02)

72.21% (

-0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

0.01)

21.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87% (

0.01)

55.13% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.14% (

0.02)

31.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

0.02)

68.3% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Brentford 45.91%

Southampton 28.6%

Draw 25.48%

Brentford	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.6%