Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 27, 2021 at 8pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 1
Man Utd

Saint-Maximin (7')
Krafth (66'), Joelinton (70'), Manquillo (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cavani (71')
Ronaldo (57'), Fernandes (66'), Maguire (68')

Callum Wilson could miss "months" with calf injury

Newcastle United managed Eddie Howe admits that his side could be without Callum Wilson for "months" as his calf injury is set to be assessed.

Dec 29, 13:19

Manchester United interim manager Ralf Rangnick pictured in December 2021

Ralf Rangnick critical of Manchester United's display versus Newcastle United

Interim manager Ralf Rangnick admits that he 'did not like Manchester United's performance' during the 1-1 draw with Newcastle United on Monday night.

Dec 28, 09:10

Manchester United players look dejected after Allan Saint-Maximin scores for Newcastle United on December 27, 2021

Gary Neville hits out at Manchester United "whingebags"

Ex-Manchester United defender Gary Neville slams the Red Devils players as "whingebags" during their 1-1 draw with Newcastle United on Monday.

Dec 27, 23:58

The Match

We said: Newcastle United 0-3 Manchester United

Facing multiple members of the established Big Six in successive gameweeks was always going to spell danger for Newcastle, who are working with a depleted and easily breachable defence. Man United fans will be demanding more attacking impetus from their star-studded frontline, and Monday's game ought to provide the perfect opportunity for Rangnick to oversee a convincing win with plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester United
18.56%	22.06%	59.39%

Both teams to score 52.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23%

45.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91%

68.09%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.51%

38.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.76%

75.24%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97%

15.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.48%

43.53%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 18.56%

Manchester United 59.38%

Draw 22.05%

Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 5.53% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 2.64% 3-1 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.56%	1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 10.96% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-4 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.97% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.18% 1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.38%