Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Aston Villa |
23.33% ( -1.09) | 22.21% ( 0.48) | 54.46% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( -3.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.86% ( -3.46) | 40.14% ( 3.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.49% ( -3.67) | 62.51% ( 3.67) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.36% ( -2.77) | 30.64% ( 2.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.12% ( -3.41) | 66.88% ( 3.41) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( -0.99) | 14.72% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.08% ( -1.93) | 42.92% ( 1.94) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.88% Total : 23.33% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.69) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 1.05) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.74) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.25) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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