Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
5 - 1
Guimaraes

Ramos (13'), Mario (28' pen., 36'), Silva (69' og.), Silva (89')
Ramos (65')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Silva (79')
Amaro (26'), Andre (43'), Safira (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Benfica 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Not only have Benfica enjoyed a superb domestic campaign, but they have also reached the quarter-finals of the Champions League. Schmidt's side have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we anticipate another one-sided affair with As Aguias prevailing once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.23%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 6.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
80.23% ( -0.13)	13.04% ( 0.08)	6.73% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.53% (

-0.24)

34.47% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.61% (

-0.27)

56.39% (

0.27)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.32% (

-0.08)

6.68% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.25% (

-0.21)

24.75% (

0.2)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.73% (

-0.05)

51.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.48% (

-0.03)

85.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Benfica 80.22%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 6.73%

Draw 13.04%

Benfica	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 80.22%	1-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 13.04%	0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 6.73%