Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
21.35% ( -0.79) | 24.02% ( -0.04) | 54.63% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( -0.69) | 50.26% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( -0.61) | 72.21% ( 0.61) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( -1.17) | 38.11% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.13% ( -1.14) | 74.87% ( 1.14) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( 0.06) | 18.29% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.64% ( 0.1) | 49.36% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.55% Total : 21.35% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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