Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 2
Chaves

Joaozinho (60'), Lea Siliki (85'), Carvalho (85')
Joaozinho (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vitoria (31' pen.), Teixeira (71' pen.)
Guimaraes (66'), Sarr (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 3-2 Estoril
Friday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Chaves

Buoyed by their victory over Portimonense, Chaves will head into the weekend with their morale high as they look to move into the top half of the table. However, Estoril Praia cannot be ruled out, given their home advantage. While both sides are evenly-matched and capable of picking up the win, we predict that the game will end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Chaves
35.56% ( -0.79)	27.39% ( -0.19)	37.05% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.05% (

0.73)

55.95% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.96% (

0.59)

77.05% (

-0.59)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

-0.13)

30% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

-0.16)

66.12% (

0.16)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

0.96)

29.08% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.01% (

1.17)

64.99% (

-1.16)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 35.55%

Chaves 37.05%

Draw 27.39%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.55%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.05%