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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Carlos (61'), Depu (78')
Pereira (40'), Dominguez (52'), Tiba (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Larrazabal (13'), Soma (20'), Roberto (52')
Roberto (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia

While Gil Vicente endured a turbulent start to the season, they will be backing themselves to extend their dominance over Casa Pia and grab the desired result in front of their home fans. However, the visitors have picked up four wins and one draw in their five away games this season and we see them leaving with something at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
37.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 25.87% (0.004999999999999 0) 36.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.63% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.74% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)60.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.37% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 37.63%
    Casa Pia 36.5%
    Draw 25.86%
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
57.7%
Draw
26.9%
Casa Pia
15.4%
26
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 34
Gil Vicente
1-0
Casa Pia
Navarro (63')
Gomes (54')

Kunimoto (84')
Soma (71')
Jan 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Casa Pia
1-3
Gil Vicente
Martins (46')
Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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