Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 3, 2023 at 6pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 0
Benfica

Ramos (23'), de Brito Gonzaga (45+4'), Franco (46'), Marcelo (50')

Kokcu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Moreirense 1-2 Benfica

Three of the last four meetings between the sides have seen Moreirense hold Benfica to 1-1 draws, as the visitors have only won four of the last nine head-to-heads, despite the gulf in stature between the sides. Another close encounter is in the offing given Moreirense's ability at stifling the opposition, but Benfica should have just enough to claim three points and remain top of the pile. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
20.02% ( 1.29)	21.58% ( 0.25)	58.39% ( -1.55)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.53% (

0.78)

41.47% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.13% (

0.79)

63.86% (

-0.79)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

1.8)

34.42% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

1.87)

71.13% (

-1.88)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

-0.22)

13.92% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.63% (

-0.43)

41.36% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 20.02%

Benfica 58.39%

Draw 21.57%

Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.02%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.39%