Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 2, 2022 at 5pm UK

Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
2 - 1
Dynamo Moscow

Shvets (22'), Sadulaev (44')
Kamilov (19'), Bystrov (25'), Sadulaev (39')
Sadulaev (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gladyshev (90+4')
Normann (28'), Laxalt (44'), Sazonov (52')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Dynamo Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

Last Game: Ural 1-2 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, September 17 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-2 Zenit
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
40.76% ( 1.08)	26.84% ( -0.27)	32.39% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

0.87)

54.25% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

0.73)

75.65% (

-0.72)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

0.99)

26.17% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

1.31)

61.25% (

-1.31)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

-0.1)

31.2% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

-0.12)

67.54% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Akhmat Grozny 40.76%

Dynamo Moscow 32.39%

Draw 26.83%

Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.76%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.39%