Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
42.63% ( 0.13) | 25.25% ( -0.04) | 32.12% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( 0.14) | 47.68% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( 0.13) | 69.87% ( -0.13) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 0.12) | 22.3% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( 0.18) | 55.77% ( -0.18) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( 0.01) | 28.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.22% ( 0.01) | 63.78% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |