Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Bonnyrigg Rose

Miovski (17', 25')
Shinnie (45'), Barron (60'), Lopes (75'), Polvara (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mailer (12'), McGachie (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Aberdeen and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Aberdeen
Tuesday, February 6 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 2-0 Elgin
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

Aberdeen will be hoping that the new manager bounce is in full effect this weekend as they look to end their difficult run of form, and facing a team three divisions below them could be the ideal way to make that happen. While the visitors will certainly look to make an occasion out of the day, the Dons should be able to get through this test. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
56.54% ( -4.93)	21.76% ( 0.75)	21.7% ( 4.17)

Both teams to score 58.45% (

4.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.96% (

2.76)

40.04% (

-2.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

2.8)

62.41% (

-2.8)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.97% (

-0.6)

14.02% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.42% (

-1.2)

41.57% (

1.2)

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

5.89)

32.01% (

-5.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

6.2)

68.47% (

-6.2)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 56.54%

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 21.7%

Draw 21.76%

Aberdeen	Draw	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -1.39) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -1.6) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -1.2) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.45) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.66) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.29) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.54%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.79) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.6) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.91) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.62) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.57) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.33) Other @ 2.54% Total : 21.7%