Segunda Division | 1st Leg
Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Eibar1 - 1Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Eibar
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Alaves
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
We said: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
There is not much to choose between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting both legs to be incredibly tight, with penalties potentially ultimately being needed to separate them. Eibar will be hoping to secure a first-leg advantage, but we believe that Alaves will be able to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Eibar | Draw | Alaves |
50.46% ( 0.22) | 29.1% ( 0.51) | 20.44% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 36.7% ( -1.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.2% ( -1.91) | 67.8% ( 1.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.2% ( -1.29) | 85.8% ( 1.29) |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.44% ( -0.81) | 27.56% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.92% ( -1.06) | 63.08% ( 1.06) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.66% ( -1.96) | 49.34% ( 1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.8% ( -1.43) | 84.2% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Eibar 50.45%
Alaves 20.44%
Draw 29.1%
Eibar | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 17.52% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.51% Total : 50.45% | 0-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.93) 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.3% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.03% Total : 20.44% |
How you voted: Eibar vs Alaves
Eibar
58.8%Draw
11.8%Alaves
29.4%17
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-29 00:40:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 72 |
2 | Leganes | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 71 |
3 | EibarEibar | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 68 | 45 | 23 | 68 |
4 | Espanyol | 41 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 66 |
5 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 64 |
6 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 41 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 64 |
7 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 62 |
8 | ElcheElche | 41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 59 |
9 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 41 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 59 |
10 | Levante | 41 | 13 | 19 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
11 | Burgos | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 58 |
12 | TenerifeTenerife | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 53 |
13 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 51 |
14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 50 |
15 | Albacete | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
16 | Eldense | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 50 |
17 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 48 |
18 | MirandesMirandes | 41 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 46 |
19 | Amorebieta | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 45 |
20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 41 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 43 |
21 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 40 |
22 | Villarreal II | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 40 |
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