Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
56.49% | 21.09% | 22.42% |
Both teams to score 61.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.08% | 35.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.99% | 58.01% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% | 12.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.14% | 38.86% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.95% | 29.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% | 64.97% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 6.69% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.45% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.13% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 3.68% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-1 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.22% Total : 22.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |