Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Bologna |
33.07% ( 0.04) | 25.97% ( 0.04) | 40.96% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.49% ( -0.15) | 50.5% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.57% ( -0.13) | 72.43% ( 0.14) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0.05) | 28.89% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( -0.06) | 64.76% ( 0.06) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% ( -0.1) | 24.37% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.22% ( -0.15) | 58.78% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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