Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 4, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
0 - 2
Lecce

Pickel (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baschirotto (58'), Espeto (69')
Colombo (76'), Askildsen (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-2 Cremonese
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Salernitana
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sides are yet to reach 20 goals since promotion - placing them among Serie A's lowest scorers - so a close-fought tussle is in prospect. While Lecce are experiencing their first real downturn, Cremonese must be lifted by their Coppa Italia success - surely Saturday is the day their winless streak finally ends? Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Lecce
36.66% ( -1.09)	26.32% ( -0.02)	37.02% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.46% (

0.12)

51.54% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

0.1)

73.34% (

-0.1)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0.57)

27.19% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.75)

62.6% (

0.75)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.71)

26.99% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

0.91)

62.34% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 36.66%

Lecce 37.02%

Draw 26.31%

Cremonese	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.66%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.02%