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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Salernitana

Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (55')
Radovanovic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cremonese
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana

Fiorentina are enjoying a good run of form in all competitions as the World Cup break draws closer, but they still have a lot of work to do in order to catch up with those clubs challenging for European places in Serie A. Salernitana have improved after a woeful start to the campaign and now face two away assignments before the league pauses until January, but a trip to face Italiano's men may be where the good results of late begin to dry up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
70.81% (0.768 0.77) 17.89% (-0.249 -0.25) 11.3% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.902 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (-0.271 -0.27)42.27% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (-0.273 -0.27)64.67% (0.268 0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.12 0.12)10.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.27500000000001 0.28)34.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-1.088 -1.09)46.5% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.846 -0.85)82.11% (0.84 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.8%
    Salernitana 11.3%
    Draw 17.89%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 2.32% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 70.8%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.3%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
76.3%
Draw
14.5%
Salernitana
9.2%
76
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta382161172423069
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina381791261461560
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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