Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

de Vrij (21'), Barella (44'), Correa (73')
Bastoni (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Yepes (19'), Colley (40'), Duricic (52'), Verre (57'), Gabbiadini (61'), Amione (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Plzen
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Sampdoria
Monday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Inter are drawless in their last 20 league games - their longest such run since the 1940s - while Samp have scored the fewest Serie A goals this season. Not surprisingly, then, a home win appears to be on the cards, with Lukaku's return occurring just in time to match a Martinez hot-streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Sampdoria
77.79% ( -0.02)	14.35% ( 0.01)	7.87% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.44% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.53% (

-0.01)

36.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.39% (

-0.01)

58.61% (

0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.39% (

-0.01)

7.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.78% (

-0.02)

27.22% (

0.02)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.27% (

0.02)

49.73% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.53% (

0.02)

84.47% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 77.77%

Sampdoria 7.87%

Draw 14.35%

Inter Milan	Draw	Sampdoria
2-0 @ 12.55% 3-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.77%	1-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 14.35%	0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 7.87%